Re: [NTLK] Seldon a decision analysis tool

From: Eric L. Strobel (fyzycyst_at_comcast.net)
Date: Mon Aug 19 2002 - 13:31:37 EDT


on 8/19/02 1:21 PM, Joel M. Sciamma at joelsciamma_at_compuserve.com wrote:

> As with all these systems, the weighting that you give to each of the
> components of your problem really makes the decision for you. It would be
> nice to surprise yourself with a conclusion from the program that ran
> counter to your gut feel but it pretty much always just confirms it.
>
> It's a good program though and has some well designed features. If I could
> be more objective about my weightings it might be more effective! At least
> it makes you think about the problem carefully and set down the pertinent
> issues.

My guess is that this type of software is far more useful if you use it in a
"what if" sense. That is, knowing that your weightings are likely to be
biased, you can go back and change the weightings to see how sensitive the
conclusions are to your prejudices.

- Eric.

-- 

Eric Strobel (fyzycyst_at_NOSPAM^mailaps.org)

===================================================================== Design is an iterative process. The necessary number of iterations is one more than the number you have currently done. This is true at any point in time. =====================================================================

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